If the "F-22 stop production" thread was not locked this is were you could quote Mr Gates on 2 things: Russia would not have a new flying plane before 2015(proven wrong), and China would not have a plane before 2020(so far proven wrong).
Boeing did a few months of Taxi test with the 787 before it flew. And seeing how China's Air Force is not asking for a large people carrier, this should be in flight test pretty soon, if they manged to keep it secret this long.
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