by Felix/FFDS » Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:44 am
Candle_86 - you make valid points. I believe, however, that the Stalin government would not have openly declared war, but rather would have fomented and aided in-country Bolshevists as they had been doing in Germany (pre-1933) and in Spain.
The fascists in Germany *could* have been stopped, and confidence in the shaken, but given the conditions, another possibility could be that the Allies, given that they had to stop German expansionism "again" could have imposed even stronger sanctions, giving rise to either a resurgent nationalism under someone other than the nazis, and/or a Bolshevist type revolution against the fascists that "once again" led to German " humiliation"
Japan was already on an expansionist program, and I believe that their push would have eventually collided with the Western presence (Indo-China, Phillipines, China). With no major war in Europe pushing an arms race, it's conceivable that the Western Powers (GB/.France/USA) could have been even less prepared than they were in 1941. (Considering that war production had been ramping up, and that the weapons the ultimately won the war were already in development by late 1941).
IF a settlement had not been reached with the Japanese, I think that eventually the US led industrial might would have gained a much more costly victory. However, there could also have been the possibility of a settlement with Japan, giving Japan control over what they already had in China and some of the Southeast Asian colonies/nations.
Felix/FFDS