by elite marksman » Sat Dec 16, 2006 10:23 pm
Enir, it is my opinion that we will not see another manned fighter aircraft. It is also my opinion that we will NEVER see a fighter wing comprised exclusively of UAVs.
For the first statement, UAV technology has advanced, however it is moving at too slow a pace to, in my opinion, be at an advanced enough state to perform all the functions of a modern fighter/bomber by the time the JSF's projected life span is over.
For the second, I doubt that we will ever see a unit comprised of UAVs as there is absolutely NO replacement to a pair of eyes and brain in the cockpit. Cameras have distinct disadvantage over eyes; they break. So do radios. Also, having a person actually sitting in the cockpit lets him take the entire situation in much faster and make a decision where the consequences directly affect him, not a robot. A pilot is much less likely to put himself or others in a situation that could cause serious harm to friendlies.
Also, if used in the role of CAS, as the Marine Corps might, having a pilot could, and probably would, drastically reduce the chances of dropping bombs on a friendly.
UAVs are to be used to supplement manned aircraft, not replace them. The proper use of a UAV is something that a manned aircraft cannot do (eg. predator, global hawk) or something far to dangerous for a human (suicide precision-attack runs behind a substantial air-defense network, eg. if we wanted to put a bomb in the Politburo's meeting room with the USSR's 1980s air-defense network. A plane would have been lucky to get within 100 miles of Moscow, however a small, expendable UAV might be able to penetrate the defenses because it can maneuver in ways that would kill a pilot. Another good use of UAVs would be as Wild Weasels, the vast majority of fixed-wing crew lost during Vietnam were SAM-hunters, not air superiority.